FanEx Analysis Draft
Round 10

Rules | Transactions

Draft Rounds - See below for analysis
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20  
Final Analysis

 10.01
Tony Holm
QB Aaron Rodgers
QB: Young  Rodgers RB: Grant Parker McFadden JJones  WR: RMoss Holmes Cotchery Berrian TE: PK:  DT:

Again, Phil Rivers, Matt Leinart, heck even Jason Campbell beat out Rodgers in an ADP rank but I don't pick again until pick 132, by that time all these QBs should be gone along with Rodgers and a few other ones, so throw ADP out the window, I drafted the guy I'd be most upset to lose among the remaining QBs.  Rodgers is another with tremendous upside and a supporting cast that will help him along.  He's talented, they run the same offense that he's learned and he's learned the position from one of the best.  When Rodgers did play he played very well, sporting a QB rating of 106.0 having played in 2 games in 2007.  I think the upside for Rodgers is as big as anyones.

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10.02
Matt Pitzer 
RB Brandon Jackson

QB: Hasselbeck  RB: Barber Bush BJackson  WR CJohnson Holt Curtis Clayton TE: PK:  DT:

He had a horrible rookie season so this definitely is a gamble. But I saw a guy who averaged 5.5 yards a carry over three games before the NFC championship. The Packers love to run and Ryan Grant, while having a great half a season, is not exactly an established NFL runner. Jackson will get some chances again and I'm willing to see how much of that late-season improvement was real.
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10.03

Greg Kellogg
QB Matt Leinart

QB: Romo Leinart  RB: Portis RBrown Henry FJones Norwood  WR: Marshal Evans Driver TE: PK:  DT:

This is likely the biggest risk I have taken thus far in this draft.  Kurt Warner clearly out-played Leinart last year but with these receivers whomever starts at QB is likely to have a great year.  I have to think that somebody will be Leinart.  With Romo as my QB1 I can afford to take this chance.
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10.04

Duane Cahill
WR Isaac Bruce 

QB: Brady RB: LJohnson Graham Mendenhall McAllister CBrown  WR: Boldin Bowe Jennings Bruce TE: PK:  DT:
While the old-timer ain't what he used to be, he's certainly worth a flyer returning to the Mike Martz offense in San Francisco that he was so proficient in while with the Rams.  While I'm not expecting his numbers of old, I do expect that he'll start opposite Bryant Johnson and wind up with somewhere in the neighborhood of 60/750/5.  The trick is spacing out the five TDs during weeks that I need them. 

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10.05
Matt Pitzer (via trade)
TE Owen Daniels

QB: Hasselbeck Roethlisberger  RB: Barber Bush WR CJohnson Holt Curtis Clayton TE: Daniels PK:  DT:

Not much mystery to this pick beyond taking the guy who was sixth among tight ends in receptions last year. The Texans love to throw to him and as long as Andre Johnson's knee problems linger, Daniels will be a big part of the offense. I'll like having him for those weeks when he catches 6 or 8 balls.
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10.06

Chris Dolfi | Tom Walls
TE Todd Heap

QB: Anderson  RB: Lynch Jones-Drew Jacobs WR: Housh Coles Crayton TE: Winslow Heap PK:  DT:

This was probably our hardest pick of the draft so far.  We have no 11th rounder due to our trading up to get QB Derek Anderson earlier in the draft, so almost anyone we would have considered at this spot will be long gone by the time our next pick rolls around.

We settle on TE Todd Heap as a high-risk, high reward election for us.  Sure we could have drafted a couple safer options at TE, but we already have Kellen Winslow, so why not gamble on a guy like Todd Heap? Heap spent much of last season on the injury list, and there is no guarantee he'll return at 100% this season - but if he does, we get a top 5 TE in the mid-10th. We also have a bargaining chip for possible trades with the 4 teams who have yet to pick a TE this draft.

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10.07

Shannon O'Leary 
QB Jake Delhomme

QB: Bulger Delhomme RB: Gore Lewis RJohnson Bell WR: Fitzgerald White Walker TE: Gonzalez  PK:  DT:
I am looking for Jake to bounce back this year. So are the Panthers.  Delhomme still has a very good receiving core. Also the running game will have fresh legs this year. Delhomme and Bulger are my quarterbacks. Both are coming off less than spectacular years but have the potential to perform in the top 7 to 8. The tandem should work well if the can stay healthy. Delhomme isn’t a spring chicken but at 33 he’s not over the hill either.
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10.08

Jim Butler
QB Philip Rivers

QB: Brees Schaub Rivers  RB: McGahee White  WR: Galloway Sweed DJackson TE: Gates Cooley  PK:  DT:
If not for his injury last season, I don't think I would be finding him here at this position in the draft. Last time I took part in the FAD, both of my QBs got injured. Rivers is a little insurance policy with a huge upside.
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10.09

John Georgopoulos
RB Ladell Betts

QB: EManning  RB: Westbrook TJones DWilliams Betts WR: Wayne Colston Ward Branch TE: PK:  DT:
Starting to strain looking for any sort of quality RBs at this point. Betts has always filled in admirably for Portis when given the chance, and Jim Zorn may play him a little more even if Portis is healthy. Also fits in nicely with the bye week situation of my RB corps.
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10.10

Jerome Hickerson
RB Chris Johnson (R)

QB: Palmer RB: Addai Maroney  Taylor CJohnson WR: Edwards Harrison Gonzales RBrown TE: Shockey PK:  DT:
This is a talented player drafted into a situation that will give him a decent opportunity to shine in his rookie season. While Lendale White is likely to receive the greater share of opportunities, Johnson is going to be in the mix and has plenty of upside as the season grinds on. I considered Selvin Young at this point but opted for Johnson. While I rated them evenly, my hunch says that the end of the day, Johnson earns more chances than Young.
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10.11

TC Cannon
RB Selvin Young 

QB: PManning RB: Peterson Stewart Benson Young  WR: Owens Burress Chambers Engram TE: Clark  PK:  DT:
QB Rivers was the target this round, and he was claimed by Butler earlier today. Good catch, Jim. 

Moving forward now... The quick agile RB Selvin Young had a fine 2007 debut with the Broncos. He filled in for a semi-crippled Travis Henry and was an 8 games starter. 750/1 rushing and 35/230/0 receiving were his totals. He earned 140+ yards in the 1st half vs KC and his numbers could really improve in 2008. Except that he is a former Longhorn, I am happy to have him at the mid point of the draft. (Hell, I might just take all the former Texas RBs - Williams, Holmes, Charles are next!)

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10.12

Chris Rito | Mike Nazarek
QB Jon Kitna

QB: McNabb Kitna RB: Tomlinson James Turner CTaylor WR: RWilliams Mason Burleson TE: Witten PK: DT:
While the switch from OC Mike Martz and his "bombs away" offense to the more run-oriented Jim Colletto has obviously scared off a lot of drafters from Jon Kitna, there is a lot to like here. Other negatives include lost points for the inevitable INTs and the pounding he (again) will take behind the Lions' excuse for an O-line. But...he still has a poor team around him which will force a fair amount of throwing as the team plays from behind. There is still little threat of a running game to detract touches and direct the playcalling. There are still two all-world WRs on the outside, one of which is on our roster already. There is still no viable replacement for him waiting in the wings for 2008. In addition, we can claim a date with the Texans' poor secondary on our starter's bye week!  And frankly, its hard not to root for the guy <g>
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