FanEx Analysis
Draft
Round 13
Rules
| Transactions
Draft Rounds - See below
for analysis
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Final
Analysis
13.01
|
Chris
Rito | Mike Nazarek DT Patriots QB: McNabb Kitna RB: Tomlinson James Turner CTaylor WR: RWilliams Mason Burleson Gaffney TE: Witten Smith PK: DT: Patriots |
The
run on defenses will now commence, and we see a clear dropoff
after 4-6 teams so we take our #1A defense here. The improved
Vikings (and the Chargers - darn you TC!) were a very strong
candidate here, but 2008 schedule differences gave the nod to
NE. The Vikes were a little too dependent on scoring TDs for
their fantasy points and were also streakier in 2007, finishing
with less than 7 FAD points in half of their games and under 3
many times. On the other hand, the Patriots had a comfy 11 games
with 7 or more points, nine of them in double digits. They were
a solid #2 in the NFL in sacks - a stat that tends to repeat
more often than does defensive TD scoring. |
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13.02
|
TC
Cannon QB Jeff Garcia QB: Manning Garcia RB: Peterson Stewart Benson Young WR: Owens Burress Chambers Engram Hardy TE: Clark PK: DT: Chargers |
|
No
fancy selection here. After waiting as long as possible to add a
QB2, Garcia was an easy now-or-never choice. He is a
repeat Pro Bowler that has recently bounced from SF to CLE to DET to PHI
to TB in a five year period. If he can resist meeting a new
realtor, Garcia should continue as the Bucs starter. Only Bears,
Raiders, and even lesser choices remain
undrafted. This worked out very well. |
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13.03 |
Jerome
Hickerson WR Sidney Rice QB: Palmer Campbell RB: Addai Maroney Taylor CJohnson Rice WR: Edwards Harrison Gonzales RBrown Rice TE: Shockey PK: DT: |
|
I
wanted Bernard Berrian earlier in
the draft but I missed out so I moved down a bit on my list and
selected another Vikings receiver. I see good potential in Rice
as I expect him to be the primary redzone
receiver. Selected 62 picks later than Berrian,
Rice is likely to be the better value and may even exceed Berrian’s
numbers. |
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|
13.04 |
John
Georgopoulos RB Carnell Williams QB: EManning Edwards RB: Westbrook TJones DWilliams Betts CWilliams WR: Wayne Colston Ward Branch DJackson TE: PK: DT: |
| Williams
was at one time a very important Buc. What can I say, I am big,
sentimental jerk. Kids, don't try this at home!
=================================================================================== |
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13.05
|
Duane
Cahill
(via trade) QB JaMarcus Russell QB: Brady Russell RB: LJohnson Graham Mendenhall McAllister CBrown RWilliams WR: Boldin Bowe Jennings Bruce Stallworth TE: PK: DT: |
|
I
can’t believe I just traded up to get JaMarcus Russell. Selecting Tom Brady early allowed me to stock up at the RB/WR positions while other owners were drafting their second quarterbacks (and tight ends). As long as Brady stays healthy, the weeks that I use my second QB will be few and far between. However, I still want to make sure that I’m going to have someone that I can rely on as a week-in, week-out starter. Choosing Ricky Williams in the last round cost me a shot at Jeff Garcia (although Rito informed me that he’d have taken Ricky with his next pick). Russell is last QB left that I can count on to start. The Dolfi/Walls team may very well have had their sites set on him, as only Derek Anderson graces their roster at the position. Russell
will start. That’s more than I can say for what is left –
Pennington/Clemens, Grossman/Orton, Croyle/Huard, Beck/McCown,
Boller/Flacco or Ryan/Redman. I’ll take my chances with
Russell.
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13.06 |
Shannon
O'Leary DT Bears QB: Bulger Delhomme RB: Gore Lewis RJohnson Bell Foster WR: Fitzgerald White Walker Porter TE: Gonzalez PK: DT: Bears |
|
Year after year the bears field an
above average defense. This year should be no different. When
selecting a defense it can be a crap shoot, but I like to get
defenses such as
=================================================================================== |
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|
13.07 |
Chris
Dolfi | Tom Walls RB Michael Bush QB: Anderson RB: Lynch Jones-Drew Jacobs MBush WR: Housh Coles Clayton SMoss Hackett TE: Winslow Heap PK: DT: |
| This
is a classic high risk/reward pick. The Raiders took McFadden in
the first round this year, and we expect him to be the feature
back. We also think that Bush will push Justin Fargas for
carries. He's too talented to sit on the bench. Of course there
are many questions about Bush's injury, but he should be back. We figure somewhere between 5-10 touches for Bush, with about 800 yards total. But if McFadden or Fargas get injured; Bush's workload will increase accordingly. =================================================================================== |
|
|
13.08 |
Ian
Allan TE Heath Miller QB: Cutler Garrard RB: SJackson Forte KSmith Bradshaw WR: AJohnson SSmith Welker CJohnson BrJohnson TE: Davis Miller PK: DT: |
|
Holm and Kellogg are coming up in
the next few picks. They’ll both pick twice before I get to
choose again. So I’m confident that each will select a tight
end, and I think there’s even a chance they might select four
tight ends with those four picks. So I figured I’d better grab
Miller. I’m not completely sold on the other guy I have at
this position (Vernon Davis) so Miller gives me some depth in
case Davis doesn’t work out. Plus, if these guys each score 5
TDs, maybe they’ll come on different weeks and I’ll get 10
TDs out of the position. =================================================================================== |
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13.09 |
Jim
Butler
(via trade) RB Correll Buckhalter QB: Brees Schaub Rivers RB: McGahee White Duckett Buckhalter WR: Galloway Sweed DJackson Glenn TE: Gates Cooley PK: DT: |
| Buckhalter
is a consistent staple in the Eagles offense. Though sitting
behind Westbrook on the depth chart hasn't hurt his
opportunities. At this point in the draft, I was looking for a
guy that was a solid #2 on his team. He could carry the load in
Philly should Westbrook get hurt, not like that hasn't happened
before, and if that's the case, Correll could end up being a top
performer. =================================================================================== |
|
|
13.10 |
Greg
Kellogg TE Tony Scheffler QB: Romo Leinart ASmith RB: Portis RBrown Henry FJones Norwood WR: Marshal Evans Driver DCarter TE: Scheffler PK: DT: |
| After
you get past the elite tight ends everyone is a 400-600 yard 3-5
TD guy. Scheffler started just seven games last year but
still managed to hit the top end of those numbers. He had
dramatic improvement from his rookie season and should show some
growth in 2008. =================================================================================== |
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|
13.11 |
Chris
Dolfi | Tom Walls
(via
trade) DT Giants QB: Anderson RB: Lynch Jones-Drew Jacobs MBush WR: Housh Coles Hackett TE: Winslow Heap PK: DT: Giants |
| We
were hoping the Chargers might fall to us with the earlier of
our 13th round picks, but we weren't so lucky. It gave us
the opportunity to put off our defense selection until this
spot, and bolster our thin RB corps with our earlier of the two
picks. But don't let that fool you, we're happy with our
defensive choice. The New York Giants don't have a particularly explosive special teams, even if they averaged the 7th best kickoff returns in the NFL last year. They also didn't do a particularly good job of keeping opponents off the scoreboard, ranking only 17th in that category. What the Giants *DO* have is (in our opinion) the best pass rushing defensive line in the NFL - a fact borne out by their league best 53 sacks in 2007. And the Giants D closed strong in the playoffs last year, stopping some of the NFL's best offensive squads (Dallas, Green Bay, and New England) in their final three games. In 2008, we'll take the Giants improved defensive play, and their continued sack dominance, and watch our top-5 defense score points for us every week. =================================================================================== |
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13.12 |
Tony
Holm WR Vincent Jackson QB: Young Rodgers Jackson RB: Grant Parker McFadden JJones Fargas WR: RMoss Holmes Cotchery Berrian VJackson TE: PK: DT: |
| It
seems like Jackson has been sliding down the board and I had
settled on Jackson with one of my next two picks if he was still
here. While there is competition, Jackson is the incumbent
and really turned it on in the playoffs last year. Jackson
was everyone's Cinderella pick last season as he was a 3rd year
WR, with all the skills and size, in an offensive juggernaut of
a system that didn't have Chris Chambers at the time.
Opportunity still knocks for Vincent Jackson and he very well
could be a 4th year bust out. He showed the Chargers
toward the end of last year that he was certainly capable of
being a go-to guy and I hope that it carries over into 2008. =================================================================================== |
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